| monopoly of the home and colony markets, | |||
| have been artificially raised up to any unnatural | |||
| height, finds some small stop or interruption | |||
| in its employment, it frequently occasions | |||
| a mutiny and disorder alarming to government, | |||
| and embarrassing even to the deliberations | |||
| of the legislature. How great, therefore, | |||
| would be the disorder and confusion, it | |||
| was thought, which must necessarily be occasioned | |||
| by a sudden and entire stop in the employment | |||
| of so great a proportion of our principal | |||
| manufacturers? | |||
| Some moderate and gradual relaxation of | |||
| the laws which give to Great Britain the exclusive | |||
| trade to the colonies, till it is rendered | |||
| in a great measure free, seems to be the only | |||
| expedient which can, in all future times, deliver | |||
| her from this danger; which can enable | |||
| her, or even force her, to withdraw some part | |||
| of her capital from this overgrown employment, | |||
| and to turn it, though with less profit, | |||
| towards other employments; and which, by | |||
| gradually diminishing one branch of her industry, | |||
| and gradually increasing all the rest, can, | |||
| by degrees, restore all the different branches | |||
| of it to that natural, healthful, and proper | |||
| proportion, which perfect liberty necessarily | |||
| establishes, and which perfect liberty can alone | |||
| preserve. To open the colony trade all at | |||
| once to all nations, might not only occasion | |||
| some transitory inconveniency, but a great | |||
| permanent loss, to the greater part of those | |||
| whose industry or capital is at present engaged | |||
| in it. The sudden loss of the employment, | |||
| even of the ships which import the eighty-two | |||
| thousand hogsheads of tobacco, which are over | |||
| and above the consumption of Great Britain, | |||
| might alone be felt very sensibly. Such are | |||
| the unfortunate effects of all the regulations | |||
| of the mercantile system. They not only introduce | |||
| very dangerous disorders into the state | |||
| of the body politic, but disorders which it is | |||
| often difficult to remedy, without occasioning, | |||
| for a time at least, still greater disorders. In | |||
| what manner, therefore, the colony trade ought | |||
| gradually to be opened; what are the restraints | |||
| which ought first, and what are those which | |||
| ought last, to be taken away; or in what manner | |||
| the natural system of perfect liberty and | |||
| justice ought gradually to be restored, we must | |||
| leave to the wisdom of future statesmen and | |||
| legislators to determine. | |||
| Five different events, unforeseen and unthought | |||
| of, have very fortunately concurred | |||
| to hinder Great Britain from feeling, so sensibly | |||
| as it was generally expected she would, | |||
| the total exclusion which has now taken place | |||
| for more than a year (from the first of December | |||
| 1774) from a very important branch | |||
| of the colony trade, that of the twelve associated | |||
| provinces of North America. First, | |||
| those colonies, in preparing themselves for their | |||
| non-importation agreement, drained Great Britain | |||
| completely of all the commodities which | |||
| were fit for their market; secondly, the extraordinary | |||
| demand of the Spanish flota has, this | |||
| year, drained Germany and the north of many | |||
| commodities, linen in particular, which used | |||
| to come into competition, even in the British | |||
| market, with the manufactures of Great Britain; | |||
| thirdly, the peace between Russia and | |||
| Turkey has occasioned an extraordinary demand | |||
| from the Turkey market, which, during | |||
| the distress of the country, and while a | |||
| Russian fleet was cruising in the Archipelago, | |||
| had been very poorly supplied; fourthly, the | |||
| demand of the north of Europe for the manufactures | |||
| of Great Britain has been increasing | |||
| from year to year, for some time past; | |||
| and, fifthly, the late partition, and consequential | |||
| pacification of Poland, by opening the | |||
| market of that great country, have, this year, | |||
| added an extraordinary demand from thence | |||
| to the increasing demand of the north. These | |||
| events are all, except the fourth, in their nature | |||
| transitory and accidental; and the exclusion | |||
| from so important a branch of the colony | |||
| trade, if unfortunately it should continue | |||
| much longer, may still occasion some degree | |||
| of distress. This distress, however, as it will | |||
| come on gradually, will be felt much less severely | |||
| than if it had come on all at once; and, | |||
| in the mean time, the industry and capital of | |||
| the country may find a new employment and | |||
| direction, so as to prevent this distress from | |||
| ever rising to any considerable height. | |||
| The monopoly of the colony trade, therefore, | |||
| so far as it has turned towards that trade a | |||
| greater proportion of the capital of Great Britain | |||
| than what would otherwise have gone to | |||
| it, has in all cases turned it, from a foreign | |||
| trade of consumption with a neighbouring, into | |||
| one with a more distant country; in many | |||
| cases from a direct foreign trade of consumption | |||
| into a round-about one; and, in some | |||
| cases, from all foreign trade of consumption | |||
| into a carrying trade. It has, in all cases, | |||
| therefore, turned it from a direction in which | |||
| it would have maintained a greater quantity | |||
| of productive labour, into one in which it can | |||
| maintain a much smaller quantity. By suiting, | |||
| besides, to one particular market only, so | |||
| great a part of the industry and commerce of | |||
| Great Britain, it has rendered the whole state | |||
| of that industry and commerce more precarious | |||
| and less secure, than if their produce | |||
| had been accommodated to a greater variety | |||
| of markets. | |||
| We must carefully distinguish between the | |||
| effects of the colony trade and those of the | |||
| monopoly of that trade. The former are always | |||
| and necessarily beneficial; the latter always | |||
| and necessarily hurtful. But the former | |||
| are so beneficial, that the colony trade, | |||
| though subject to a monopoly, and, notwithstanding | |||
| the hurtful effects of that monopoly, | |||
| is still, upon the whole, beneficial, and greatly | |||
| beneficial, though a good deal less so than it | |||
| otherwise would be. | |||
| The effect of the colony trade, in its natural | |||